Can your startup be data-driven and proactive at the same time?

In the startup world, we have come to appreciate the power of empirical evidence, A/B tests and data-driven decision making. We strongly expect (even outright assume) that our startup founders, leaders and decision makers ground their leadership decisions on hard, solid data (as opposed to personal whims, dreams or anecdotal tales). At the same time, being proactive has always been a prized leadership skill. But if we define "being proactive" as the ability to address a problem or opportunity before there is data about that problem or opportunity, it seems irrational to demand from someone to be proactive and data driven at the same time!

I was confronted with this dilemma last week while discussing the implications of a new feature release with a product team. The aforementioned release would introduce some changes that could potentially make a small percentage of the existing user base of the product unhappy. But no one really knew the size or the extent of unhappiness caused here. Should the product team be proactive and try to fix the problem by delaying the launch, or instead, be agile and launch immediately, only to react to problems if and when they arise afterwards? What if one hour after the release, one user voices very strong dissatisfaction with the release. Do you roll back the release or wait until you receive complaints from at least x% of your users before you decide to do something about it?

I think there are 2 keys to resolving this dilemma in any organizational setting: (1) Clear Product Vision, and (2) Personal Experience. A clear product vision in the organization enables everyone involved to make proactive decisions by prioritizing those decisions against the furtherance of that overarching vision. If the organizational product vision is to provide the "best customer service in ecommerce", for instance, then the decision on whether or not to argue over a customer's desire to return a merchandise can be easily made without having to make elaborate calculations about the impact of the decision. Personal experience, on the other hand, enables the decision maker to spot trends early on and extrapolate inferences from limited data sets that may not, in and of themselves, be statistically significant.

So it seems quite important for the leadership in a startup to recognize the inherent dilemma between data-driven decision making and proactive leadership and to take steps to ensure that there is a clear product vision driving the organization forward, while at the same time leveraging prior experience of team members, advisers or consultants in making inferences from past data.

(Photo Credit: livescience)

An Ode to the Valley

I loved reading Justin Rosenstein's inspirational, heart-felt post Do Great Things on TechCrunch this week. It talks to the same "Death of Big Ideas" phenomenon I blogged about after visiting SXSW Conference last year, and makes a powerful case for why the pursuit of Big Ideas by us, the privileged members of the Valley tech community, is a moral imperative.

You must read Justin's piece in its entirety, but as a preview here are some of my favorite quotations from it:

Technology, community, and capitalism combine to make Silicon Valley the potential epicenter of vast positive change. 


And with increasingly severe threats to our survival — rapid climate change, an unstable international economy, and unsustainable energy consumption — it is more important than ever that we... change the world, foster happiness and alleviate suffering, for us and our fellow beings.

[I]n the face of threats to humanity’s future on the one hand and the extraordinary potential of mankind on the other, at some point we must ask: are we capable of more?

Life is short, youth is finite, and opportunities endless. Have you found the intersection of your passion and the potential for world-shaping positive impact? 

Don’t lose the fire you started with. If you’re going to devote the best years of your life to your work, have enough love for yourself and the world around you to work on something that matters to you deeply... in order to do great things, we must attempt great things.

Steve Jobs: The Founder Archetype

I started this post with a list of my top 10 favorite things about Steve Jobs, but soon realized that any such attempt is futile at best. As the Da Vinci of our time, Steve Jobs' accomplishments were not limited to a set of inventions, principles, or theories. They spanned multiple disciplines (comp sci and art, for example), multiple decades (starting with the 80's, remember the original Mac?), and will have far reaching implications into the future (wearable computing, for instance).

But the one thing that will make him forever immortal, IMHO, is the fact that he has established himself as the "Founder Archetype" for as long as entrepreneurship will exist. His passion, ambition, perseverance, dedication and determination will be that which all founders will be judged by and compared against. He has truly upped the game for all of us; and that maybe his greatest legacy!

P.S. For some inspiration on how others are preparing themselves for this challenge, you may want to read and follow #LiveLikeSteve

Chamath's Golden Rule!

Starting with my first topical post on this blog, I have been praising the advantages of a high integrity culture as the foundation of a sustainable business. Yesterday's leaked email from investor Chamath Palihapitiya to Airbnb CEO, wherein he provides an eloquent reason for not wanting to participate in a financing round that does not pass his integrity test, is a great reminder to all founders and executives of the importance to stay vigilant about preserving a culture of integrity in their startups. I confess that I don't know much about Airbnb's culture, but based on some of their past notoriety in the press (see one thread on TechCrunch here), I can see how small, incremental compromises in integrity may have led to this point, and hopefully Chamath's email and the attention it has raised to this matter can be a turning point for the company.

Here is my favorite paragraph from Chamath's email, which provides solid practical advice on how to preserve integrity within your organization:

Treat your employees the same as you’d treat yourself. Do things that you will be proud of and can defend to anyone including your Board, employees, prospective hires etc. In such a competitive hiring market, you are competing with not just your obvious competitors, but also any successful tech company who is also looking for great talent. A principle that treats your employees as well as you’d treat yourself is a huge strategy for differentiation, retention and long term happiness of the exact types of people you will need to be successful. In contrast, if you are viewed as self-dealing and shady, it will only hurt your long term prospects…

The highlighted first sentence above is what I would like to call "Chamath's Golden Rule for Management", which is a great modern application of the ancient Golden Rule.

I recall that as I a lawyer I used to advise my clients against doing something they would hate to see on the cover of WSJ. Airbnb founders may find themselves in that uncomfortable position on Monday!

P.S. As full disclosure, Chamath is a good friend, personal hero, and former investor in my last startup Jaxtr, via the Mayfield Fund.